Wake Up, Philippines!

Most Pinoys say 2010 polls to push through; Noli still leads

Posted in Election, Surveys by Erineus on March 21, 2009

By Helen Flores Updated March 13, 2009 12:00 AM

MANILA, Philippines – A majority or 65 percent of Filipino adults believe that the May 2010 elections will take place as scheduled even as Vice President Noli de Castro continued to lead the presidential race, independent pollster Pulse Asia reported yesterday.

Pulse Asia’s February 2009 survey showed that De Castro remained the top choice of Filipinos to succeed President Arroyo in 2010, garnering 19 percent preference rating.

Sen. Francis Escudero came in close second with 17 percent; followed by former President Joseph Estrada, 16 percent; and Sen. Manuel Villar Jr., 15 percent.

Sen. Loren Legarda came in fifth with 12 percent, followed by Senators Manuel Roxas II, eight percent and Panfilo Lacson, six percent.

Makati City Mayor Jejomar Binay was also included in the survey, receiving two percent of the votes while Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) Chairperson Bayani Fernando got one percent.

The non-commissioned survey, conducted from Feb. 2 to 15, used face-to-face interviews of 1,200 representative adults aged 18 years old and above.

The survey showed that 65 percent of Filipinos believe that there is a big possibility that the next elections will push through according to schedule – a sentiment shared by small to big majorities (55 percent to 76 percent) across geographic areas and socio-economic classes. One in 10 Filipinos or 13 percent believes otherwise and 22 percent are undecided on the matter.

Escudero and Villar welcomed the survey results, both saying the people will ultimately decide on election day.

Meanwhile, leading presidentiables and vice presidentiables will be among the panelists in the Rotary Club of Downtown Manila’s first “Open Forum on Good Governance and Public Service” on March 25 at the De La Salle University in Taft Avenue, Manila.

The forum will also have as panelists personalities of known independence, probity and integrity.

Lawyer Alejandro Rodriguez Jr., president of Rotary Club of Downtown Manila, said the forum intends to elicit the participants’ commitment and insights on good governance and public service as well as on urgent matters of national concern.

Much trouble

Fifty-one percent of Filipinos agree that the postponement or cancellation of the May 2010 elections will cause much trouble in the country.

On the other hand, 27 percent of Filipinos do not believe that much trouble will ensue if the May 2010 elections are not held, while 21 percent are ambivalent on the matter, the survey said.

In the vice presidential race, the Pulse Asia survey showed that 26 percent of Filipinos would vote for Escudero while 22 percent would choose Legarda if the elections were held today.

The only other personality who scored a double-digit vice-presidential voter preference is De Castro with 14 percent.

The February 2009 survey, meanwhile, showed that public interest in the May 2010 senatorial elections remains high.

Pulse Asia said 16 of 65 personalities included in the senatorial survey have a statistical chance of winning if the elections were conducted now.

Currently leading the senatorial race is Sen. Jinggoy Estrada whose overall voter preference of 52.8 percent.

The senator thanked his supporters and said he is humbled by his current ranking.

Sen. Pia Cayetano received 48.8 percent; Roxas, 48.8 percent; Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago, 47 percent and former Senate president Franklin Drilon, 42.7 percent.

Sen. Jamby Madrigal would be re-elected by 38.8 percent of Filipinos while Sen. Ramon Revilla Jr. would win another senatorial term with the support of 37.8 percent of Filipinos.

Aquilino Pimentel III got 36.1 percent; National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Director-General Ralph Recto, 35.5 percent; former Sen. Sergio Osmeña III, 33.8 percent; and Optical Media Board (OMB) chairperson Edu Manzano, 33.4 percent. Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB) chair Vicente Sotto III has 31.2 percent.

Also included in the list of probable winners are news anchor Korina Sanchez with 28 percent; Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile, 27.6 percent; Binay, 27.2 percent; and Sen. Richard Gordon, 26.9 percent.   – With Sandy Araneta
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